How’s the Market? July 2018 Snapshot

I hope you will find the following snapshot of local Real Estate inventory interesting. The table represents aggregated values based on MLS data for the specified date.

If you are keeping up with my monthly reports you’ll notice that we are seeing a slight softening of the market in the past 30 days. What does that mean? Well, in the simplest of interpretation it means that we have more homes available for sale than last month and the homes that are being sold are staying on the market longer and selling at slightly lower prices. Again, I’d like to emphasize that this is a SLIGHT softening! No need to run for the hills yet. If you have had thoughts of selling and are just curious to see what your home would sell for today give me a call. I would be more than happy to prepare a quick, easy to understand, analysis of your home. Don’t be caught off guard, make sure you know what is going on with what is likely the biggest investment you’ll ever make!

Housing Inventory Snapshot July 28, 2018
Average List Price 30 Days Trend Median List Price 30 Days Trend Average DOM: active/sold 30 Days Trend Number of Listings
San Bernardino County, CA
Single Family $330,142 -0.90% $328,000 -0.30% 65 / 45 1 / 5 3,812
Luxury Single Family $950,353 -1.66% $739,900 -1.33% 99 / 52 0 / -2 1,264
Condo/Townhome $316,034 1.62% $339,900 1.49% 48 / 31 3 / 1 219
Luxury Condo/Townhome $549,744 4.57% $515,000 5.10% 54 / 54 3 / 22 71
Riverside County, CA
Single Family $412,938 -1.31% $410,000 -1.20% 68 / 52 1 / 2 5,500
Luxury Single Family $1,380,812 -7.61% $949,900 -4.82% 128 / 138 -1 / -22 1,787
Condo/Townhome $273,226 0.83% $279,000 0.00% 101 / 75 9 / 2 758
Luxury Condo/Townhome $562,053 0.33% $505,000 1.02% 129 / 94 6 / 0 250
Orange County, CA
Single Family $1,000,165 -1.75% $899,000 -1.75% 57 / 36 2 / 0 3,416
Luxury Single Family $4,807,038 -2.86% $3,200,000 -3.03% 110 / 121 2 / 22 1,132
Condo/Townhome $520,386 -1.02% $514,500 -0.87% 43 / 29 0 / 2 1,443
Luxury Condo/Townhome $1,388,313 -4.74% $1,095,000 -4.78% 80 / 45 4 / -13 452
Los Angeles County, CA
Single Family $795,427 -3.18% $689,900 -1.44% 54 / 36 1 / 0 7,897
Luxury Single Family $5,574,955 -0.39% $3,295,000 0.00% 87 / 82 1 / -17 2,504
Condo/Townhome $548,776 0.66% $529,000 0.76% 46 / 31 1 / 0 2,071
Luxury Condo/Townhome $2,021,007 2.06% $1,499,000 3.74% 68 / 51 -6 / -4 667

If you know someone who is considering buying or selling a home, please give me a call. I will provide professional & courteous service along with knowledgeable guidance throughout the process.

Regards,

Yesenia Ruvalcaba-Garcia
Broker, BRE 01293970
626-252-0839

Yesenia@NewCenturyBroker.com
www.NewCenturyBroker.com
www.CovinaRealEstate.com 

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2018 Real Estate Trends: What You Need to Know

Real estate season is here, and experts are predicting the hot market conditions will continue throughout the summer in many states. Thinking of buying or selling? Here are the 2018 real estate trends you need to know, and what the hot market means for your house.

Real Estate Trend #1: Homes Are Selling Faster Than Last Year

In February 2018, Realtor.com data showed that properties were selling 8% quicker than the same time last year—staying on the market for a median of only 83 days!(1) In March 2018, the data found that homes sold (at least!) a whole week faster than last year in 36% of the largest housing markets in the country—averaging 63 days on the market.(2)

What Faster Sales Mean for Sellers

Clearly, this is great news for home sellers! Not only does it mean your home could sell at a higher price (more on that later), but it also removes a lot of pressure you might be under to sell your home quickly. With plenty of buyers to choose from, you have a lot of negotiating power to sell on a timeline that works best for you. Woohoo!

What Faster Sales Mean for Buyers

This news isn’t as great for buyers. Your biggest challenge will be competition for homes. In their latest report on the 2018 market, Realtor.com said we’ve never experienced a market where so many buyers have to choose from so few houses.(3) To beat the competition and snatch a home this year, you may have to reprioritize what you want in a dream home. So strap in, buckle down, and follow these tips:

    • Prepare finances. If you haven’t saved 100% in cash for the home you want, at least get preapproved for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage and save up a 3.5 to 20% down payment. (A 20% down payment is better—you’ll avoid having to pay private mortgage insurance.) This will show sellers that you’re a serious buyer because you’ve already started the mortgage process—which isn’t common among all buyers placing offers.

 

    • Know what you want. You’ll be able to beat competitors to the punch and make an offer faster if you already know exactly what you want in a home. If you’re married and house hunting, you and your spouse need to agree on must-haves! So first create separate lists of what you want most. Then compare and combine those lists for your real estate agent to use as the foundation of your home search.

 

    • Write a letter. Sending a personal story to your seller might be just the thing that makes you stand out over similar offers. Covina couple Abby and John B. included a personal letter when they made an offer on their home. They believe it’s the reason their offer beat the heavy competition. “We sent the sellers a personal letter with our offer,” Abby said. “The best thing you can do is to include in the letter things you love about their house. If they have a deck or screened-in porch, tell them how you envision using the space. We did that, and the sellers accepted our offer—out of multiple offers—within 24 hours.”

 

  • Hire an experienced pro. If you don’t operate in the real estate business every day, working through the complex details that go into a home purchase in a hot market could cause costly delays. In such a competitive market, why shouldn’t a seller choose to work with a buyer who’s more prepared? That’s why you want to partner with a seasoned real estate agent who has a great reputation in the community. A good agent is an expert at negotiations and can manage detailed paperwork and closing so you don’t miss your chance on a great home.

Real Estate Trend #2: Home Prices Are Higher Than Last Year

Over the past 30 years, home prices have continued to rise at an average rate of 3–4% per year.(4) But the increase in listing prices from February 2017 to 2018 is a startling 10% jump!(5)

What does this look like in dollars? As of March 2018, the median list price hit $280,000. Most new listings tend to be over $350,000, while the rest remain between $200,000–350,000. Only 1 in 3 homes on the market are priced below $200,000, and half of all buyers are competing for homes in that price range!(6)

What Higher Prices Mean for Sellers

You’ll likely make a nice profit as a seller! Will you use the profits to purchase your next home? Maybe you’re downsizing and using the money to beef up your retirement. Whatever you do, lay out your plan before you sell so your profit doesn’t go to waste.

What Higher Prices Mean for Buyers

If you’re going to buy a home in this expensive market, you absolutely must find out how much house you can really afford. Crunch the numbers yourself with our free mortgage calculator or meet with one of our trusted lenders and figure out how much of a monthly payment your budget can handle.

Commit to staying within that budget amount. Don’t rush into a home purchase that doesn’t make financial sense for you—no matter how much pressure you feel watching competitors pluck good homes off the market. If you get impatient, you’ll screw up your finances!

  • Expand your search. What if the location you’re planning to buy in is what’s really busting your budget? Get connected with Yesenia to learn more about home prices in your area that will fit your budget and lifestyle.

Real Estate Trend #3: CA Holds the Hottest Market

While the hot market is likely to affect the sale or purchase of your home no matter where you live in the country, you can expect the above trends to be at their peak on the West Coast. As of February 2018, California accounted for 13 of the top 20 locations where homes were receiving the most listing views and staying on the market for the shortest amount of days. For a glance at what some of those Californian areas are, below is a list of the top 10 hottest markets:

  1. San Francisco, CA
  2. Midland, TX
  3. Vallejo, CA
  4. San Jose, CA
  5. Sacramento, CA
  6. Denver, CO
  7. Santa Rosa, CA
  8. Colorado Springs, CO
  9. San Diego, CA
  10. Stockton, CA(7)

What If I’m Not Buying or Selling a Home This Year?

Now you know the challenges and benefits of buying or selling a home this year. But what if you decide to hold off and wait longer to buy or sell? Could your home continue to rise in value—and sell for even more? Will the hot market cool down for better buying conditions? Or are we in another housing bubble that’s about to burst?

1. Equity Will Likely Keep Increasing by 2–6% (Until 2020)

With most housing markets at a low risk for a downturn, the 2018 edition of The Housing and Mortgage Market Review estimates that home prices will continue to rise for the next couple of years, with annual increases of 2–6%.(8) So if you sell your house before 2020, you’ll likely still make a great profit. But don’t rely solely on market trends. Continue to monitor how much your home is worth to make sure your equity (how much your home is worth minus how much you owe on it) is going up.

2. Is the Real Estate Market Going to Crash Again?

With such rapid upward trends, some are wondering if the housing market could collapse again. While it’s impossible to know for sure, most experts expect the rising prices to settle down over the next 24 months. For most cities, risk of a crash in the market is low.(9)

3. Despite Your Neighborhood, Buyers Are Interested

Because of the hot market and low inventory, buyers may be willing to consider neighborhoods that don’t have easy-access to highways or close proximity to the city. In other words, if your neighborhood hasn’t been swarmed by home shoppers in a while, this market will likely make it more attractive. Determined buyers are willing to compromise for an unconventional area if it means they can snatch a house. So, even if you think you live in an unpopular neighborhood or that your home isn’t what buyers are looking for, think again. Maybe now is your perfect time to sell.

Take Control of the Trends With a Real Estate Agent

Whether you’re itching to enjoy the benefits of the hot market by selling your home or feeling the challenges of a buyer, you can take advantage of current real estate trends by partnering with the right professional. Find a professional who has earned Dave Ramsey’s seal of trust for practicing what he teaches, giving excellent advice, and providing outstanding customer service. Contact Yesenia today!

March 2018 – How’s The Market? Snapshot


I hope you will find the following snapshot of local Real Estate inventory interesting. The table represents aggregated values based on MLS data for the specified date.

Housing Inventory Snapshot March 31, 2018
Average List Price 30 Days Trend Median List Price 30 Days Trend Average DOM: active 30 Days Trend Number of Listings
Los Angeles County, CA
Single Family under $1M $620,017 4.82% $605,000 6.14% 54 -3 4399
Single Family over $1M $3,960,605 -0.63% $2,199,000 -4.18% 77 -5 3550
Condo/Townhome under $600K $429,048 0.51% $425,000 0.74% 42 -2 985
Condo/Townhome over $600K $1,442,205 1.32% $959,888 0.51% 57 -4 1107
Riverside County, CA
Single Family under $500K $356,613 2.07% $365,000 2.24% 69 -2 3305
Single Family over $500K $1,243,529 -0.49% $779,000 -2.50% 107 -3 3051
Condo/Townhome under $300K $216,636 -2.05% $224,900 -2.22% 95 -9 579
Condo/Townhome over $300K $464,392 0.42% $409,000 -1.45% 105 0 657
San Bernardino County, CA
Single Family under $500K $307,262 1.64% $300,000 0.33% 67 -6 2902
Single Family over $500K $927,587 -5.53% $699,998 -2.08% 102 -12 1151
Condo/Townhome under $300K $215,786 4.40% $229,888 6.92% 57 0 66
Condo/Townhome over $300K $433,686 3.11% $399,000 5.00% 54 -8 128
Orange County, CA
Single Family under $1.3M $866,886 2.38% $839,000 2.44% 48 -4 1889
Single Family over $1.3M $3,613,810 -3.83% $2,258,000 -1.39% 95 -8 1629
Condo/Townhome under $600K $427,196 -0.14% $429,000 0.23% 42 -2 581
Condo/Townhome over $600K $1,153,084 -0.34% $869,950 -3.23% 60 -7 546
If you know someone who is considering buying or selling a home, please give me a call. I will provide professional & courteous service along with knowledgeable guidance throughout the process.
Sincerely,
Yesenia E. Ruvalcaba-Garcia, Broker
Realtor®/HUD REO & Listing Specialist
Direct (626) 252-0839
Office (626) 917-6200 ext. 14
Cell Phone (626) 252-0839
Fax (626) 209-8318
CalBRE License Number: 01293970
yeseniaruvalcaba@aol.com
newcenturybroker.com
New Century Realtors

Housing Outlook Stays Bright as Economic Forecast Darkens

forecastWhile the outlook for overall economic growth is darkening, the housing market is expected to keep up its momentum in 2016, according to Freddie Mac’s April 2016 Economic Outlook released on Friday.

Freddie Mac downwardly revised its forecast for Q1 GDP growth from 1.8 percent down to 1.1 percent. The “advance” estimate for GDP growth in the first quarter will be released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on Thursday, April 28. The GDP grew at an annual rate of just 0.6 percent in the first quarter of 2015 but then shot up to 3.9 percent for Q2; for the third and fourth quarter, the real GDP grew at rates of 2.0 percent and 1.4 percent, respectively.

The first quarter for the last few years has been punctuated by slow economic growth. While some of this can be attributed to seasonality, Ten-X (then Auction.com) Chief Economist Peter Muoio said that last year’s dismal GDP showing in the first quarter could be attributed to the brutal winter which slowed economic activity, labor disagreements at a bunch of the West Coast ports that really slowed the flow of cargo in Q1, and low oil prices (though this was partially offset by lower gas prices which put more money in consumers’ pockets).

“We’ve revised down our forecast for economic growth to reflect the recent data for the first quarter, but our outlook for the balance of the year remains modestly optimistic for the economy,” Freddie Mac Chief Economist Sean Becketti said. “However, we maintain our positive view on housing. In fact, the declines in long-term interest rates that accompanied much of the recent news should increase mortgage market activity, particularly refinance.”

On the positive side, Freddie Mac expects the unemployment rate will fall back below 5 percent for 2016 and 2017 (last month it ticked back up to 5.0 percent after hovering at 4.9 percent for a couple of months). Reduced slack in the labor market will push wage gains above inflation, although the gains are expected to be only modest, according to Freddie Mac.

While the economic forecast for Q1 has grown darker, the forecast looks bright for housing in 2016, however.

“We expect housing to be an engine of growth,” Freddie Mac stated in the report. “Construction activity will pick up as we enter the spring and summer months, and rising home values will bolster consumers and help support renewed confidence in the remaining months of this year.”

Freddie Mac

Low mortgage rates have boosted refinance activity in the housing market during Q1. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate averaged 3.7 percent for the first quarter, which drove an increase for the 1-4 single-family originations estimate for 2016 up by $50 billion up to $1.7 billion. Rates are expected to bump up, however, and average 4 percent over the full year of 2016, according to Freddie Mac. House prices are expected to appreciate by 4.8 percent over 2016 and 3.5 percent for 2017; homeowner equity is expected to rise as a result of the home price appreciation, which could mean more refinance opportunities.

The low mortgage rates combined with solid job growth are expected to make 2016 the strongest year for home sales since the pre-crisis year of 2006 despite the persistently tight inventory of for-sale homes, according to Freddie Mac.

“Sales were slow in the first quarter, but trends in mortgage purchase applications remain robust and we expect home sales to accelerate throughout the second quarter of 2016 as we approach peak homebuying season,” Freddie Mac said.

1-626-252-0839 Sell While the Market is HOTT!

What’s Your Home Worth? Find out Now!

If you’ve been thinking about selling your home, chances are that you’re excited about the possibility of moving and starting a new chapter of your life. Simply deciding to sell your home isn’t enough, though. The process of putting your home on the market can be overwhelming and time-consuming, so before you try to sell your property, you need to ask yourself a few questions. Being honest with yourself and with the people around you will help you have a more positive selling experience when you’re ready to move.

Click here to view the entire Freddie Mac Economic Outlook for April 2016.

About Author: Brian Honea

Brian Honea
Brian Honea’s writing and editing career spans 14 years across many forms of media. He served as sports editor for two suburban newspaper chains in the DFW area and has freelanced for such publications as the Yahoo! Contributor Network, Dallas Home Improvement magazine, and the Dallas Morning News. He has written four non-fiction sports books, the latest of which, The Life of Coach Chuck Curtis, was published by the TCU Press in December 2014. A lifelong Texan, Brian received his master’s degree from Amberton University in Garland.